Constant Consumption and the Economic Depreciation of Natural Capital : The Non-Autonomous Case

نویسندگان

  • John M. Hartwick
  • Ngo Van Long
چکیده

Ce document est publié dans l'intention de rendre accessibles les résultats préliminaires de la recherche effectuée au CIRANO, afin de susciter des échanges et des suggestions. Les idées et les opinions émises sont sous l'unique responsabilité des auteurs, et ne représentent pas nécessairement les positions du CIRANO ou de ses partenaires. This paper presents preliminary research carried out at CIRANO and aims to encourage discussion and comment. The observations and viewpoints expressed are the sole responsibility of the authors. They do not necessarily represent positions of CIRANO or its partners. CIRANO Le CIRANO est une corporation privée à but non lucratif constituée en vertu de la Loi des compagnies du Québec. Le financement de son infrastructure et de ses activités de recherche provient des cotisations de ses organisations-membres, d'une subvention d'infrastructure du ministère de l'Industrie, du Commerce, de la Science et de la Technologie, de même que des subventions et mandats obtenus par ses équipes de recherche. La Série Scientifique est la réalisation d'une des missions que s'est données le CIRANO, soit de développer l'analyse scientifique des organisations et des comportements stratégiques. CIRANO is a private non-profit organization incorporated under the Québec Companies Act. Its infrastructure and research activities are funded through fees paid by member organizations, an infrastructure grant from the Ministère de l'Industrie, du Commerce, de la Science et de la Technologie, and grants and research mandates obtained by its research teams. The Scientific Series fulfils one of the missions of CIRANO: to develop the scientific analysis of organizations and strategic behaviour. Résumé / Abstract Nous décrivons une formule pour comptabiliser la dépréciation économique des stocks de capital (y compris la qualité de l'environnement) dans les cas où les prix, la technologie et les taux d'intérêt ne sont pas stationnaires. Dans les deux premiers cas, le taux de consommation est constant si l'on adopte une stratégie d'investissement pour compenser la dépréciation économique. Dans le cas où le taux d'intérêt n'est pas stationnaire, on a besoin d'une stratégie modifiée pour s'assurer un taux de consommation constant. We investigate economic depreciation of natural capital for cases of non-stationary output prices, technology and interest rates. For the former two cases (exogenous movements in prices and technology), constant consumption emerges under a strategy of investing to cover off economic depreciation. The interest rate case requires a modified sinking fund strategy.

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تاریخ انتشار 1996